November could be another drier-than-average month

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Although coastal regions of the province are battling high winds and heavy rain, here in the Peace it appears we could be headed for a second consecutive month of slightly below average precipitation and above average temperatures.

The local airport weather station, posted an average high of 11.1 degrees in October, as opposed to the monthly norm of 7.7.

Currently more than one third of the way through November the average high has been plus two degrees, as opposed to the monthly norm of minus 2.9.

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Meantime, the October precipitation total of 24.4 millimetres was about six off the norm, but this month, with ten point two posted through the first eleven days at the airport station, it was nearly on pace to match the November norm of 29.2 millimetres.

However, it’s worth noting, 7.4 millimetres of the current total were recorded on the first day of the month, and since then we’ve received only 2.8 millimetres, and if that ten day trend continues, by the end of the month, the total will be just slightly more than half the November norm.

This all can be easily traced to Environment Canada’s fall and winter El Nino forecast, which among other things predicted, significantly below average snowfall — and so far in the first six weeks October and November the airport station has recorded only 13.4 centimetres.

The combined norm for the full two month period is 52.1 centimetres, which means to match that total, a post of 38.7 will be needed in less than three weeks.

Mind you, one has to track back only four years to discover that can be done very easily in this area, as we recorded three quarters of that total in one day in 2011, with an airport post was 29.4 centimetres on the 17th of November, a single day record for the month.

In addition, those of us who were here for last ten days of the month in 1995 experienced a dump of no less than 56.7 centimetres, which pushed the monthly total to 99.1.

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