Local airport weather station numbers show that last month was warmer and drier than normal.
It puts the average daily maximum temperature at slightly better than 11º, as compared to the October norm of 7.7º.
In fact this year, we had no less 22 October days with double digit highs, with the eighth being the warmest, at 19º, followed by the first, at 18.5º, and then the tenth, at 17.8º.
Meantime, even though the rainfall amount exceeded the norm, the snowfall total was much less than the October average, also leaving the precipitation total below the norm.
The rainfall total was 21.6 mm, 8.3 more than the monthly norm but even with the late Saturday snowfall of 2.4 cm, to close out the month, we still had only 2.8 – well off the October average of 19.6.
That left the precipitation total at 24.4, also a below the October average of 30.8.
So while the warmer than average temperatures, and the higher rainfall than snowfall totals last month, did follow the Environment Canada El Nino forecast script, the overall precipitation post did not.
Here’s what meteorologist Matt MacDonald told us early in September:
Now it also needs to be pointed out again, Matt was talking about the entire fall/winter period and that gives him some forecast leeway, since we’ve likely got a lot of shoveling to do before the owls are hooting, the woodpeckers drumming, and the crocuses blooming in the spring of 2016.