Coronavirus death graph shows how March’s lockdown saved lives: expert

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A steady flattening — and what may be early signs of a decrease — in Canada’s coronavirus deaths reflect the locking down of society starting in mid-March, an expert says.

“It’s good news — this is what we want to see,” says Steven Hoffman of York University. “A flattening first, and then a quick reduction.

“That being said, it highlights that we have challenges — there are still too many people dying every day of COVID-19.”

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The graph shows an upward trend until mid-April and then (clearly, in retrospect) a slowing and flattening pattern.

That reflects the shutdown and social-distancing measures that started in Canada about a month previously, in mid-March, he says: someone who dies of the novel coronavirus was likely infected three or four weeks previously.

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“That’s when all the most significant public health measures were being implemented,” he says. “Every day, a new set of measures were coming into place across the country, and we were seeing robust efforts for physical distancing.

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“The timeline does match.”


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